Der Schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse (German Edition) Book PDF, ePub eBook

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Book Descriptions:
Talebs Weltbestseller endlich wieder im Handel erhältlich. „Der Schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse“ und „Der Schwarze Schwan: Konsequenzen aus der Krise“ erstmals komplett in einem Band und eingeleitet mit einem neuen Essay des Autors.


Nassim Nicholas Talebs Definition ist weltberühmt geworden: Ein “Schwarzer Schwan” ist ein Ereignis, auf das drei Dinge zutreffen: Es ist erstens ein Ausreißer – es liegt außerhalb der regulären Erwartungen, nichts in der Vergangenheit weist darauf hin. Es hat zweitens enorme Auswirkungen. Drittens bringt uns die menschliche Natur dazu, im Nachhinein Erklärungen für sein Eintreten zu konstruieren, um es erklärbar und vorhersagbar zu machen. In diesem bahnbrechenden Buch, das mittlerweile weltweit zum Klassiker geworden ist, entwickelt Taleb seine einflussreiche Denkfigur und Maxime für die ungewisse Realität, in der wir leben und handeln.

Der Schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse (German Edition) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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